David Wright David Wright

Research Report: Quantum Computing Component Evolution

For CIOs planning their quantum computing strategy, the fastest evolution is occurring in components that leverage existing technologies and deliver immediate business value rather than in fundamental qubit development. Cloud access platforms will transition to performance-based pricing by 2026, making quantum resources more commercially viable as users pay for delivered advantage rather than raw resources.

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David Wright David Wright

Strategic Planning Assumptions: Quantum Computing

The quantum computing landscape is transitioning from a research curiosity to a strategic business consideration with clear commercial applications emerging within the next 3-7 years. While early estimates of quantum computing's timeline have often proven optimistic, the industry is now showing concrete progress in hardware reliability, error correction, and practical applications that suggest we are approaching the threshold of commercial quantum advantage in targeted domains.

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David Wright David Wright

Market Note: Quantum Computing Market Estimates

The global quantum computing market is currently valued between $650 million and $1.5 billion (2023-2024), with projections to reach anywhere from $4.5 billion to $75.6 billion by 2030-2032, reflecting the speculative nature of this emerging technology. The Quantum Processing Unit (QPU) segment represents the largest component at approximately $1.13 billion in 2024, projected to grow to $13.1 billion by 2031 at a 41.7% CAGR. Overall market growth rates vary considerably between research firms, ranging from 24.2% to 54.5%, though most estimates cluster around 30-35%, making quantum computing one of the fastest-growing technology sectors. Significant long-term economic impacts are anticipated, with potential market size reaching $106 billion by 2040 and generating economic value of $620 billion to $1.27 trillion across multiple industries by 2035. This growth is fueled by $5.4 billion in private investment as of 2022, extensive government funding initiatives worldwide, and a vibrant ecosystem of 223 quantum computing startups competing alongside major technology corporations.

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David Wright David Wright

Key Issue: What is quantum computing ?

Quantum computing is transitioning from a research curiosity to a strategic business consideration, with a maturing market ecosystem that offers multiple entry points for executive engagement. While broad commercial quantum advantage remains on the horizon, early applications in optimization, simulation, and machine learning are already demonstrating value in specific high-value use cases across financial services, logistics, pharmaceuticals, and materials science. The fragmented nature of the quantum market—spanning hardware, software, cloud services, components, and security—allows organizations to calibrate their quantum strategies based on industry needs, technical requirements, and risk appetite rather than making all-or-nothing investments.

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David Wright David Wright

Research Note: Rigetti Computing, A Pioneering Quantum Computing Company

Rigetti Computing has established itself as a significant innovator in quantum computing with its unique multi-chip approach that addresses key scaling challenges faced by the industry. The company's vertical integration from chip design through manufacturing to software development gives it distinctive advantages in rapid iteration and optimization of its quantum systems. Rigetti's achievement of 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity with its Ankaa-3 system represents important progress toward the error correction thresholds necessary for practical quantum computing applications.

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David Wright David Wright

Research Note: Google’s Willow Quantum Chip

Google's Willow quantum chip represents a significant breakthrough in the field of quantum computing, demonstrating that key technical hurdles like error correction can be overcome with innovative engineering approaches. The achievement of executing computations that would take classical supercomputers billions of years in just minutes highlights the transformative potential of quantum computing for solving previously intractable problems.

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